UPDATED: 04-07-26 18:12 PDT

stick Albany
  
Albany                
W-L: ( 9- 4) PR = 85.0460

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 210 A Holy Cross Patriot ( 5- 7, 83.0) 9- 6 215 A Stony Brook Colonial (11- 2, 93.2) 6-15 221 H Harvard Ivy League ( 4- 6, 87.8) 13-12 225 H Niagara Metro Atlanti ( 6- 7, 78.8) 14- 9 228 A Connecticut Big East ( 4- 8, 85.0) 11-12 307 A Colgate Patriot ( 5- 6, 81.9) 16-13 311 H Wagner Northeast ( 4- 7, 74.2) 16- 4 314 A New Hampshire America East ( 4- 8, 75.8) 16- 9 321 H Massachusetts-Lowell America East ( 4- 8, 78.9) 19-10 324 H Syracuse ACC (11- 3, 93.5) 8-10 328 H Binghamton America East ( 5- 7, 80.5) 12-11 330 H Boston College ACC ( 8- 5, 92.5) 5-22 404 A UMBC America East ( 6- 5, 81.7) 14- 9 411 H Bryant America East ( 8- 5, 81.9) 418 A Vermont America East ( 6- 6, 82.4)

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   210 A Holy Cross              9- 6       3     1    +      2.22
   215 A Stony Brook             6-15      -9    -9           0.38
   221 H Harvard                13-12       1    -2    +      2.53
   225 H Niagara                14- 9       5     7    -     -2.49
   228 A Connecticut            11-12      -1    -1           0.19
   307 A Colgate                16-13       3     2           1.10
   311 H Wagner                 16- 4      12    12          -0.11
   314 A New Hampshire          16- 9       7     8          -1.00
   321 H Massachusetts-Lowell   19-10       9     7           1.68
   324 H Syracuse                8-10      -2    -7    ++     5.26
   328 H Binghamton             12-11       1     6    --    -4.77
   330 H Boston College          5-22     -17    -6    ---   -7.81
   404 A UMBC                   14- 9       5     2    +      2.84

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   330 H Boston College          5-22     -17    -6    ---   -7.81
   328 H Binghamton             12-11       1     6    --    -4.77
   225 H Niagara                14- 9       5     7    -     -2.49

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   324 H Syracuse                8-10      -2    -7    ++     5.26
   210 A Holy Cross              9- 6       3     1    +      2.22
   221 H Harvard                13-12       1    -2    +      2.53
   404 A UMBC                   14- 9       5     2    +      2.84

Albany Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Akron Albany   Albany
American Albany Albany   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Arizona State Arizona State tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Arizona State
Army Army   Army
Austin Peay Albany   Albany
Binghamton Albany Albany  
Boston College Boston College Boston College  
Boston University Albany tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Albany
Brown Brown insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Brown
Bryant Albany Albany   4- 0 vs 2- 2
Bucknell Bucknell tied - ( 3- 0) ( 3- 0) Bucknell
Butler Albany tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Albany
California Albany tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Albany
Campbell Albany tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Albany
Canisius Albany insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Albany
Central Connecticut Albany   Albany
Central Michigan Albany insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Albany
Cincinnati Albany   Albany
Clemson Clemson tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Clemson
Coastal Carolina Albany   Albany
Colgate Albany Albany  
Colorado Colorado insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Colorado
Columbia Albany   Albany
Connecticut Connecticut Connecticut  
Cornell Cornell tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Cornell
Dartmouth Dartmouth tied - ( 4- 0) ( 4- 0) Dartmouth
Davidson Albany   Albany
Delaware Delaware tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Delaware
Delaware State Albany Albany   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Denver Denver insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Denver
Detroit Mercy Albany   Albany
Drexel Albany insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) Albany
Duke Duke tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) Duke
Duquesne Albany   Albany
East Carolina Albany   Albany
Eastern Michigan Albany   Albany
Elon Albany   Albany
Fairfield Albany tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Albany
Fairleigh Dickinson Albany   Albany
Florida Florida   Florida
Florida State Albany tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Albany
Furman Albany tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Albany
Gardner Webb Albany   Albany
George Mason Albany   Albany
George Washington Albany   Albany
Georgetown Georgetown insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Georgetown
Harvard Albany Albany  
High Point Albany   Albany
Hofstra Albany tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Albany
Holy Cross Albany Albany  
Howard (DC) Albany   Albany
Iona Albany insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Albany
Jacksonville Jacksonville   Jacksonville
James Madison James Madison insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) James Madison
Johns Hopkins Johns Hopkins insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Johns Hopkins
Kennesaw State Albany   Albany
Kent State Albany   Albany
La Salle Albany insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Albany
Lafayette Albany Albany   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Le Moyne Albany insuffient: ( 3- 0)( 2- 1) Albany
Lehigh Albany Albany   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Liberty Albany   Albany
Lindenwood Albany insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Albany
LIU Albany insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Albany
Longwood Albany   Albany
Louisville Louisville tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Louisville
Loyola (MD) Loyola (MD) tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Loyola (MD)
Manhattan Albany insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Albany
Marist Albany tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Albany
Marquette Marquette tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Marquette
Maryland Maryland insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Maryland
Massachusetts Massachusetts tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) Massachusetts
Massachusetts-Lowell Albany Albany  
Mercer Mercer   Mercer
Mercyhurst Albany insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Albany
Merrimack Albany Albany   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Michigan Michigan insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Michigan
Monmouth (NJ) Albany tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Albany
Mount St Marys Albany   Albany
Navy Navy tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Navy
New Hampshire Albany Albany  
New Haven Albany insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Albany
Niagara Albany Albany  
North Carolina North Carolina North Carolina   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Northwestern Northwestern Northwestern   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Notre Dame Notre Dame insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Notre Dame
Ohio State Ohio State   Ohio State
Old Dominion Albany   Albany
Oregon Albany   Albany
Penn Penn tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Penn
Penn State Penn State tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Penn State
Pittsburgh Pittsburgh tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Pittsburgh
Presbyterian Albany   Albany
Princeton Princeton tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Princeton
Queens Albany   Albany
Quinnipiac Albany insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Albany
Radford Albany   Albany
Rhode Island Albany insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Albany
Richmond Richmond   Richmond
Rider Albany insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Albany
Robert Morris Albany insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Albany
Rutgers Rutgers tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Rutgers
Sacred Heart Albany insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Albany
San Diego State Albany   Albany
Siena Albany insuffient: ( 3- 0)( 2- 1) Albany
South Florida South Florida tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) South Florida
Southern California Southern California tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Southern California
St Bonaventure Albany Albany   3- 0 vs 1- 2
St Josephs (PA) Albany   Albany
Stanford Stanford insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Stanford
Stetson Albany   Albany
Stonehill Albany insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Albany
Stony Brook Stony Brook Stony Brook  
Syracuse Syracuse Syracuse  
Temple Temple tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Temple
Towson Albany tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Albany
UC Davis UC Davis   UC Davis
UMBC Albany Albany  
UNC-Charlotte Albany   Albany
Vanderbilt Vanderbilt   Vanderbilt
VCU Albany   Albany
Vermont Albany tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Albany
Villanova Villanova insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) Villanova
Virginia Virginia tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Virginia
Virginia Tech Virginia Tech tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Virginia Tech
Wagner Albany Albany  
William & Mary Albany tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Albany
Winthrop Albany   Albany
Wofford Albany insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Albany
Xavier Albany   Albany
Yale Yale insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) Yale
Youngstown State Albany insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Albany

PowerWise = 84


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 12.45

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Holy Cross      ( 5- 7, 83.0)     9- 6      -16.85      23.85       1.22         0.96            48.02
   0 A Stony Brook     (11- 2, 93.2)     6-15       -6.69      34.01       1.22         0.96            -2.62
   0 H Harvard         ( 4- 6, 87.8)    13-12      -12.11      28.60      -1.22         0.96            52.45
   0 H Niagara         ( 6- 7, 78.8)    14- 9      -21.13      19.58      -1.22         0.96            35.17
   0 A Connecticut     ( 4- 8, 85.0)    11-12      -14.88      25.82       1.22         0.96            -6.54
   0 A Colgate         ( 5- 6, 81.9)    16-13      -17.98      22.73       1.22         0.96            45.87
   0 H Wagner          ( 4- 7, 74.2)    16- 4      -25.75      14.96      -1.22         0.96            26.32
   0 A New Hampshire   ( 4- 8, 75.8)    16- 9      -24.07      16.64       1.22         0.96            34.20
   0 H Massachusetts-  ( 4- 8, 78.9)    19-10      -20.96      19.75      -1.22         0.96            35.49
   0 H Syracuse        (11- 3, 93.5)     8-10       -6.38      34.33      -1.22         0.96            -3.64
   0 H Binghamton      ( 5- 7, 80.5)    12-11      -19.41      21.30      -1.22         0.96            38.47
   0 H Boston College  ( 8- 5, 92.5)     5-22       -7.44      33.26      -1.22         0.96            -4.15
   0 A UMBC            ( 6- 5, 81.7)    14- 9      -18.23      22.47       1.22         0.96            45.38
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       344.42

winning pts = 361.3716 losing points = -16.9505

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------